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Disruption Theory for PMs: Needs Evolve + Tech Gets Cheaper → New Entrants Win

Disruption Theory for PMs: Needs Evolve + Tech Gets Cheaper → New Entrants Win

If you’re building in a mature category, disruption isn’t optional knowledge—it’s survival.

Thesis: Disruption happens when the definition of ‘good enough’ shifts and the cheapest way to deliver it changes.

The two forces that create disruption

  1. User needs evolve (speed, convenience, automation, privacy)
  2. Tech gets cheaper (compute, models, infra, open-source)

When both move together, incumbents get squeezed.

A PM’s disruption checklist

  • What is becoming non-differentiating?
  • What is becoming the new ‘table stakes’?
  • Which parts of our product are expensive to deliver?
  • Where can automation replace humans?
  • What distribution channels are emerging?

Your response options

  1. Reframe the value: sell outcomes, not features.
  2. Change the unit: usage-based, tiered packaging, bundles.
  3. Move up the stack: become the system of record/workflow.
  4. Move down the stack: become the infrastructure layer.

How to communicate disruption internally

Don’t say “we’re disrupted.” Say:

“Our cost to deliver X is falling industry-wide. If we don’t adapt, our margin and differentiation compress.”

Key takeaways

  • Disruption requires two forces: needs shift + tech cost drops.
  • Ask what becomes table-stakes and what becomes commoditized.
  • Respond by reframing value, changing packaging, or shifting stack position.
  • Communicate disruption as cost/differentiation compression, not panic.